Chicago Bears Playoff Chances Heading into the 2025 Season

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Fact Checked by Cody Kutzer

Despite the Bears' disappointing season last year, hopes are already turning with the hiring of Head Coach Ben Johnson and a revamped roster. The question remains, however, as to whether Johnson will be able to do enough to improve the Bears' playoff chances. Chicago has a 38.8% chance of making the playoffs based on odds before the start of the season.

I'll be following the team all year and will be tracking the Bears' chances to make the playoffs.

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What are the Bears Playoff Chances?

After the 2025 draft and ahead of preseason, the Chicago Bears' playoff chances are not very promising at llinois sportsbooks. These chances will fluctuate as the odds change throughout the season.

🏈 Bears Make Playoffs38.8% chance (+158)
❌ Bears Miss Playoffs66.2% chance (-196)
⭐ Bears Win NFC16.9% chance (+490)
πŸ… Bears Win NFC5.3% chance (+1800)
πŸ† Bears Win Super Bowl2.8% chance (+3500)
βœ… Last Verified:May 8, 2025

Odds are provided by the FanDuel Illinois sportsbook - odds are subject to change.

Can the Bears Make the Playoffs?

Yes. Every team can technically make the playoffs at this point. The Bears spent the offseason upgrading their offensive line and adding depth to their defense. Chicago has a chance to make the playoffs with its revamped roster and new coaching staff, especially if QB Caleb Williams' play improves in his sophomore season.

Chicago Bears Playoff Chances Week-by-Week

Playoff prop odds are not available at Illinois betting apps yet. When they become available, we will have updated odds each week here.

2025 Chicago Bears Offseason Updates May 2025

Stay up to date with the latest Bears news and how it impacts their postseason chances:

  • πŸ“… April 24: The Bears draft Michigan TE Colston Loveland in the first round of the 2025 draft.
  • πŸ“… April 16: Chicago signs DB Kyler Gordon to a three-year contract extension and LB T.J. Edwards to a two-year contract extension.
  • πŸ“… April 7: The Bears sign DL Jonathan Ford, DL Daniel Hardy, OL Bill Murray, DB Ameer Speed, and DL Chris Williams.
  • πŸ“… April 4: Chicago signs DB Shaun Wade, WR Miles Boykin, and QB Case Keenum.
  • πŸ“… March 24: The Bears sign DB Nick McCloud.
  • πŸ“… March 19: Chicago signs RB Travis Homer, WR Devin Duvernay, and OL Doug Kramer Jr.
  • πŸ“… March 17: WR Olamide Zaccheaus signs with Chicago.
  • πŸ“… March 13: Chicago signs DL Grady Jarrett, TE Durham Smythe, OL Drew Dalman, and DE Dayo Odeyingbo.
  • πŸ“… March 12: The Bears trade a 2026 fourth-round draft pick to the Chiefs for OL Joe Thuney and trade a 2025 sixth-round draft pick to the Rams for OL Jonah Jackson.
  • πŸ“… January 21: Chicago hires Ben Johnson as the new head coach. 
  • πŸ“… January 5: The Bears end the 2024-25 season with a 5-12 record, the worst in the NFC North. Chicago will pick 10th overall in this year's NFL Draft.

The Bears are making it their focus to improve the roster heading into the next season.

Make sure to bookmark this page to stay up to date with recent Bears news and developments.

Chicago Bears 2025 Schedule

The full 2025 NFL schedule is not available yet, but we do know who the Bears will play this upcoming season. 

Home Opponents:

  • Detroit Lions
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Dallas Cowboys
  • New York Giants
  • Cleveland Browns
  • Pittsburgh Steelers
  • New Orleans Saints

Away Opponents:

  • Detroit Lions
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Minnesota Vikings
  • Baltimore Ravens
  • Philadelphia Eagles
  • Washington Commanders
  • San Francisco 49ers
  • Las Vegas Raiders
Will Ben Johnson help the Bears make the playoffs?

Key Contributors Toward Bears Playoff Chances

The success of the Bears' season will ultimately come down to quarterback Caleb Williams and new head coach Ben Johnson. For Williams to have a chance at succeeding, the Bears need to have a significantly improved offensive line. After the Bears used free agency and the draft to revamp their O-Line, Chicago's offense has a chance for a strong pass game. Chicago also invested in offensive weapons for Williams, drafting a tight end in the first round of the draft. 

In the 2024-25 season, Chicago's run defense went from first in the league to 28th. The Bears needed to address their run defense this offseason if they want to be playoff contenders. Key additions to the defense during free agency and the draft are expected to bolster the pass rush and give the line a boost.

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Where Can I Bet on the Chicago Bears to Make the Playoffs?

Fortunately for sports fans, there is no shortage of options for betting on the Bears' playoff odds. You can place Bears bets both online and in person at retail sportsbooks. Legal betting apps such as bet365 Illinois and BetRivers provide convenience, while the experience of placing a bet in person is hard to beat.

Retail locations with sportsbooks include:

  • πŸ“ Rivers Casino in Des Plaines (BetRivers)
  • πŸ“ Grand Victoria Casino in Elgin (Caesars)
  • πŸ“ Harrah's Metropolis Hotel & Casino in Metropolis (Caesars)
  • πŸ“ Harrah's Joliet Hotel & Casino in Joliet (Caesars)
  • πŸ“ Hollywood Casino Joliet in Joliet (ESPN BET)
  • πŸ“ Hollywood Casino Aurora in Aurora (ESPN BET)
  • πŸ“ DraftKings at Casino Queen in East St. Louis (DraftKings)
  • πŸ“ Fairmount Park in Collinsville (FanDuel)
  • πŸ“ Par-A-Dice Casino in East Peoria (FanDuel)
  • πŸ“ Hawthorne Race Course in Stickney (Fanatics Sportsbook)
  • πŸ“ Argosy Casino Alton in Alton (ESPN BET)
  • πŸ“ The Temporary by American Place Casino in Waukegan (Circa)
  • πŸ“ Bally’s Chicago Casino at Medinah Temple in Chicago (Bally Bet)
  • πŸ“ Rockford Casino in Rockford (Hard Rock Bet)

Looking Ahead: Chicago Bears Playoff Picture

The Bears are unlikely to make the playoffs, but it is certainly obtainable if things go their way in the new season with their upgraded roster. They have a difficult road to the playoffs, but with Caleb Williams' rookie season out of the way and a new head coach, the Bears have the perfect opportunity to restructure and make a run for Super Bowl 60.

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Are the Bears Out of the Playoff Picture?

No, the Bears can make the playoffs in the 2025-26 season if their roster can improve from last season. As of now, the Bears have a 38.8% chance of making the playoffs.

Where Do the Bears Rank in the NFC North?

The Bears finished last in the NFC North last season, being the only team in the division to not make the playoffs. According to the BetMGM Illinois sportsbook, the Bears have the worst odds to win the division.

Where Do the Bears Rank in the NFC Playoff Standings?

The Bears currently hold the ninth-best odds to win the NFC at +1800 odds. These odds will change throughout the offseason and the 2025-26 season. 

Where Do the Bears Rank in the NFC Wild Card Race?

The Bears did not make the playoffs last season, and the 2025-26 season has yet to start. Once the season gets underway, we will have a better idea where the Bears stand in the NFC Wild Card race.

Can the Bears Get the No. 1 Seed?

Statistically, yes, it is possible. However, it is highly unlikely that the Bears get the No. 1 seed next season.

Chicago Bears Regular Season Win Total 2025

The Chicago Bears' projected win total is 8.5 games. 

Over 8.5 wins46.5% chance (+115)
Under 8.5 wins57.5% chance (-135)

Bears Postseason Outlook & Predictions

The Bears fell short of hopeful expectations last season. However, considering the Bears have already hired a new coach and greatly improved their offensive line, I expect the team to look much different in the 2025 season. Chicago was active in free agency, signing new talent to improve its offensive and defensive lines. The Bears were also able to retain key players such as D.J. Moore, D'Andre Swift, and Rome Odunze. 

As for the draft, Chicago used their eight picks to add more offensive weapons and depth to its defense. The Bears could shock some people and make the playoffs in the upcoming season. However, the Bears Super Bowl Odds are very doubtful.

Chicago Bears Playoffs FAQs

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

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