Chicago Blackhawks Stanley Cup Chances July 2024: Tracking the Blackhawks Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Trent Hinton
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Key Takeaways:

  • πŸ† The Blackhawks Stanley Cup chances are just 0.2%, tied for worst in the NHL.
  • πŸ“‰ Chicago's chances to make the playoffs are 1%, based on implied probability.
  • πŸ’ The team was tied for the least amount of points (21) in the league as of Dec. 20.
Blackhawks Stanley Cup Playoffs Chances

The Chicago Blackhawks have shown glimpses of their promising future with young star Connor Bedard, upsetting the Colorado Avalanche 3-2 as a home underdog and winning back-to-back games for the first time this season earlier in December.

But the Blackhawks also lost four games in a row for the third time this year between Dec. 10 and 17, showing that they are still experiencing growing pains due to a lack of veteran leadership without Corey Perry and Taylor Hall.

There will be plenty of ups and mostly downs ahead this season despite the future remaining bright.

What Are the Blackhawks Stanley Cup Chances?

The Blackhawks Stanley Cup chances are 0.2%, according to implied probability from FanDuel Illinois odds.

Hockey is one of the most difficult sports to make an immediate impact in, so it will obviously take some time for rookie standout Connor Bedard and the Blackhawks to become a playoff team, no matter how much individual success he enjoys in his first year.

⬇️ Blackhawks Playoff Chances1%
⬆️ Blackhawks Miss Playoffs99%
⏸️ Blackhawks Win Stanley Cup0.2%
⏸️ Blackhawks Win Western Conf.0.4%
🚨 Blackhawks Win Central Div.0.4%
🚨 Blackhawks Win Pres. Trophy0.2%
βœ… Last Verified:July 8, 2024

The team's playoff chances have shrunk in the last few weeks after a win followed by a few losses.

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Do the Blackhawks have a Chance to Win the Stanley Cup?

Yes, the Blackhawks have a chance to win the Stanley Cup. Mathematically, Chicago has the worst NHL Stanley Cup chances of any team, tied with the San Jose Sharks at 0.2%. 

The odds are obviously against the Blackhawks based on their current overall roster no matter how well Bedard plays in his rookie year.

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Blackhawks Week-by-Week Stanley Cup Chances

Chicago's Stanley Cup chances have not changed too much over the past few weeks. But, as you can see below, the Blackhawks' chances have trended down since splitting their first four games.

Oct. 260.7%
Nov. 3πŸ”» 0.5%
Nov. 28πŸ”» 0.3%
Dec. 6πŸ”» 0.2%
Dec. 20βž– 0.2%

Chicago Blackhawks Stanley Cup Playoff Chances: Key Updates July 2024

Here's what has happened to the Blackhawks that has changed its playoff chances and outlook this season:

  • πŸ“… Dec. 19, 2023: Colin Blackwell is active for the first time since February. Rookie defender Kevin Korchinski rejoins the team after missing time due to the death of his father, though he didn't play.
  • πŸ“… Dec. 9, 2023: Chicago won consecutive games for the first time this season with a 3-1 victory against the St. Louis Blues.
  • πŸ“… Dec. 5, 2023: Forward Lukas Reichel returns to the lineup.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 28, 2023: After an internal investigation, the Blackhawks place Corey Perry on unconditional waivers.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 25, 2023: The Blackhawks announce that Perry has taken a leave of absence and will remain away from the team for the foreseeable future.
  • πŸ“… Nov. 23, 2023: Taylor Hall will undergo season-ending ACL surgery on his right knee. Hall ended his first year in Chicago with four points (two goals and two assists).
  • πŸ“… Oct. 28, 2023: The Blackhawks put rookie defenseman Alex Vlasic in concussion protocol.
  • πŸ“… Oct. 22, 2023: The Blackhawks activate C Colton Dach from non-roster injured reserve and assign him to Rockford (AHL).
  • πŸ“… Sept. 2023: NHL betting sites list Bedard as the favorite to win the Calder Trophy in 2023-24.
  • πŸ“… June 29, 2023: The Blackhawks acquire former Hart Trophy winner Corey Perry from Tampa Bay Lightning for a 2024 seventh-round draft pick.
  • πŸ“… June 28, 2023: The Blackhawks select center Connor Bedard with the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NHL Entry Draft.
  • πŸ“… Feb. 28, 2023: Three-time Stanley Cup champion and 2015-16 MVP Patrick Kane is traded to the New York Rangers.
  • πŸ“… Jan. 31, 2022: FanDuel Illinois announces a partnership with the United Center, where the Blackhawks play home games, to open a sportsbook lounge inside the arena.
  • πŸ“… Dec. 15, 2021: City Council approves an ordinance to allow regulated sports betting in Chicago, including wagers on the Blackhawks.

Chicago ended November by bidding adieu to the team's top two veteran offseason additions, as Corey Perry was let go and Taylor Hall underwent knee surgery.

While the Blackhawks won consecutive games for the first time this year and upset Colorado 3-2 on Dec. 19, they also lost seven other games during the month to remain the worst team in the Central Division. They've tied for the least amount of points (21) as of Dec. 20.

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Chicago Blackhawks Schedule and Betting Lines

Here's a look at the Blackhawks upcoming schedule through the end of 2023.

πŸ“… Nov. 28βœ… W, 4-3 vs. SEA
πŸ“… Nov. 30❌ L, 5-1 @ DET
πŸ“… Dec. 2❌ L, 3-1 @ WPG
πŸ“… Dec. 3❌ L, 4-1 @ MIN
πŸ“… Dec. 5❌ L, 4-3 (SO) vs. NSH
πŸ“… Dec. 7βœ… W, 1-0 vs. ANA
πŸ“… Dec. 9βœ… W, 3-1 vs. STL
πŸ“… Dec. 10❌ L, 4-2 vs. WAS
πŸ“… Dec. 12❌ L, 4-1 @ EDM
πŸ“… Dec. 14❌ L, 7-1 @ SEA
πŸ“… Dec. 17❌ L 4-3 vs. VAN
πŸ“… Dec. 19βœ… W, 3-2 vs. COL
πŸ“… Dec. 22vs. Montreal Canadiens
πŸ“… Dec. 23@ St. Louis Blues
πŸ“… Dec. 27vs. Winnipeg Jets
πŸ“… Dec. 29@ Dallas Stars
πŸ“… Dec. 31@ Dallas Stars
βœ… Last Verified:July 8, 2024

Key Contributors Toward Chicago Blackhawks Stanley Cup Chances

The Blackhawks have several young players and a few veterans who are looking to become key contributors this season, but none more important than the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 NHL Draft. Connor Bedard odds to win the Calder Trophy as the league's top rookie player have already dropped down to -400, more than doubling his chances to take home the award since the start of the season.

Other than Bedard, there are a number of veterans on the team who will likely step up. Those include centers Philipp Kurashev, Jason Dickinson and Ryan Donato, winger Nick Foligno and defenseman Seth Jones. In addition, another defenseman viewed as a cornerstone of the franchise is fellow rookie Kevin Korchinski, who was Chicago's first-round pick in the 2022 NHL Draft, going seventh overall out of Saskatoon.

In addition, goaltender Petr Mrazek has done his best to keep the Blackhawks competitive this year with a very respectable 8-10 record, 3.04 Goals Against Average and .910 Save Percentage as of Dec. 20. Mrazek had earned 80% of their wins up to that point, but unfortunately he cannot play every game.

Backup goalie Arvid Soderblom has not been nearly as good, going 2-10-1 with a 4.00 GAA in 14 games.

Where Can I Bet on the Blackhawks to Win the Stanley Cup?

Bettors who are 21 years of age or older can currently take advantage of Illinois sportsbook promos in two different ways, either in person at retail locations or online through betting apps.

Illinois sports betting was legalized in the state in 2019, then Illinois betting apps launched a year later in 2020. There are now eight online Illinois sportsbooks you can use to bet on the Blackhawks: BetRivers, BetMGM, Circa, Caesars, DraftKings, ESPN BET, Fanatics/PointsBet, and FanDuel. Bally Bet and Hard Rock Bet are coming online soon.

There are also 14 retail Illinois sportsbooks where you can bet on the Blackhawks in person:

  • πŸ“ Rivers Casino in Des Plaines
  • πŸ“ Grand Victoria Casino in Elgin
  • πŸ“ Harrah's Metropolis Hotel & Casino in Metropolis
  • πŸ“ Harrah's Joliet Hotel & Casino in Joliet 
  • πŸ“ Hollywood Casino Joliet in Joliet 
  • πŸ“ Hollywood Casino Aurora in Aurora 
  • πŸ“ DraftKings at Casino Queen in East St. Louis 
  • πŸ“ Fairmount Park in Collinsville 
  • πŸ“ Par-A-Dice Casino in East Peoria 
  • πŸ“ Hawthorne Race Course in Stickney 
  • πŸ“ Argosy Casino Alton in Alton 
  • πŸ“ The Temporary by American Place Casino in Waukegan 
  • πŸ“ Bally’s Chicago Casino at Medinah Temple in Chicago 
  • πŸ“ Rockford Casino in Rockford 

Looking Ahead: Blackhawks Stanley Cup Playoffs Picture

Playoff odds are definitely not in Chicago's favor, as they have just a 1% chance to make the playoffs.

But San Jose is equally as bad, with the two teams sharing the worst odds in the league.

Where Do the Blackhawks Rank in the Western Conference Playoff Picture?

Chicago (10-20) is tied with the San Jose Sharks for last in the Western Conference standings. Chicago was tied with San Jose for the least amount of points (21) in the NHL as of Dec. 20.

The Anaheim Ducks were the next-closest team in the conference standings with 24 points.

Where Do the Blackhawks Rank in the Central Division?

Chicago is the last team in the Central Division, and that is unlikely change anytime soon. The Minnesota Wild were close to the Blackhawks earlier in the season, but they have since turned things around after firing their head coach. The Wild are now nine points ahead with a .500 record as of Dec. 20.

Where Do the Chicago Blackhawks Rank to Win the 2024 Stanley Cup?

Chicago is tied with San Jose in last place to win the Stanley Cup. They both have a 0.2% chance, per FanDuel's odds.

In overall league standings, the Blackhawks are second-to-last, outranking the Sharks by virtue of their win total.

Blackhawks Playoff Picture Outlook & Postseason Predictions

The Blackhawks got off to a better than expected start at 2-2, but they have won only eight games since Oct. 16.

While Connor Bedard is viewed as a franchise savior, he cannot improve this team overnight. He will continue to grow and improve, but he needs a lot more help in order to make this team a playoff contender. Without veteran leaders in Corey Perry and Taylor Hall, others need to step up and help him.

Chicago has certainly had some positive moments early on thanks to Bedard, especially at home, where the team has earned six of its 10 wins. The Blackhawks had won three of their last five games at the United Center as of Dec. 20, including putting together their first two-game winning streak of the season earlier in the month.

But they have also struggled mightily on the road, losing eight straight. In fact, their last seven losses away from home have all decided by two goals or more.

To change that, they will need to keep Petr Mrazek healthy so he can start playing better on the road. He has gone 3-6 with a 3.69 GAA in nine games compared to 5-4 with a 2.36 GAA in nine at home.

Who to Root for if You’re a Chicago Blackhawks Fan?

This is a tough proposition for the NHL's most dedicated fans, who desperately want the team to get back to the Stanley Cup Finals again. Sometimes the only way to get better is to go through the growing pains of losing and get another top draft pick like Connor Bedard.

Remember, Jonathan Toews would not have won a Stanley Cup Final without Patrick Kane, and vice versa. Toews and Kane were selected highly in consecutive NHL Drafts, but they ended up winning three Stanley Cups only after suffering through a few losing seasons together.

The same thing will have to happen for the Blackhawks with Bedard if they are going to become true championship contenders again. Practically no team in the NHL is like the reigning Stanley Cup champion Vegas Golden Knights, who have never had a losing season and only missed the playoffs once in their history.

It takes time to build a Stanley Cup champion, and fans just need to be patient.

Blackhawks Stanley Cup Playoff Chances FAQs

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