Chicago Bears 2024 NFL Draft Odds; Who Will The Bears Draft At Pick 1?

Fact Checked by Pat McLoone

It was a tough start of the 2023 season for the Chicago Bears. Four weeks, four losses and Bears fans and backers at Illinois sportsbooks were hanging their heads.

However, the Bears found something toward the end of this season, and they hope it will carry into the 2024 campaign or even earlier at the NFL Draft in Detroit, April 25-27.

All eyes will be on that Thursday night as the Bears have two picks in the top 10. Chicago picks at No. 9 but also has the coveted No. 1 selection (via a trade with the Carolina Panthers) after going 7-10 (4th in the NFC North). Chicago won two of its last three and three of its last five games to end the 2023 season. That momentum, and the promise of the picks, have optimists thinking about the Bears' playoff chances
 
So, what will the Bears do with the No. 1 pick? With Justin Fields trade rumors heating up, there are multiple options. Use that pick on a different position player? Or trade out of that spot, which is highly unlikely? 

IllinoisBet.com - your source for online Illinois casinos - wanted to surround the No. 1 picks, analyzing the Bears' position needs and how they have fared in previous drafts.

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Hypothetical Odds of the No. 1 Pick

PlayerOddsPercent Chance
USC QB Caleb Williams-55084.6%
Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison Jr.+12007.7%
UNC QB Drake Maye+17005.4%
LSU QB Jayden Daniels+55001.8%
Other+200000.5%

The Bears are sticking with head coach Matt Eberflus (10-24, .294), who has been at the helm since 2022, but made a switch to Shane Waldron as offensive coordinator two weeks ago after the last three seasons as the OC with the Seattle Seahawks. 
 
So, the question is: Will they keep Fields, the starting quarterback who would be entering his fourth season in the Windy City, or more than likely draft the prohibitive favorite for the top draft selection, USC quarterback Caleb Williams? 

Consensus with the fanbase and those in the know, the choice would be the latter.

What Player Positions Do the Bears Need?

Quarterback certainly is not the only position the Bears are looking to improve. The Bears have needs pretty much everywhere, According to NFLMockDraftDatabase.com, their biggest needs besides QB are wide receiver, EDGE, offensive tackle, interior offensive lineman, defensive line and tight end.                              
 
Two positions that stand out are wide receiver and EDGE rusher. Chicago's top player at each position - WR D.J. Moore and EDGE Montez Sweat - are well-regarded but there is a deep drop-off there.

According to NFLMockDraftDatabase.com, the positions at which the Bears most need to improve are:

  • QB
  • WR
  • EDGE
  • OT
  • IOL
  • DL
  • TE
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Current Bears Depth Chart for Biggest Needs

PositionPlayer 1Player 2Player 3Player 4
QBJustin FieldsTyson BagentNathan Peterman
WRD.J. MooreTyler ScottVelus Jones Jr.Collin Johnson
EDGEMontez SweatDeMarcus WalkerDominique RobinsonKhalid Kareem

History of Bears 1st-Round Draft Picks

Draft YearDraft PositionPlayer
202310thOL Darnell Wright, Tennessee
2022No 1st-Round Pick
202111thQB Justin Fields, Ohio State
2020No 1st-Round Pick
2019No 1st-Round Pick
20188thILB Roquan Smith, Georgia
20172ndQB Mitch Trubisky, North Carolina
20169thOLB Leonard Floyd, Georgia
20157thWR Kevin White, West Virginia
201414thDB Kyle Fuller, Virginia Tech

The Bears did not have a first-round draft pick in 2019, 2020 and 2022. They picked Fields at No. 11 in 2021 and last season drafted four-year Tennessee offensive lineman Darnell Wright with the No. 10 overall choice.

This is the first time the Bears have had two picks in the first round since 2003 when they drafted Penn State defensive end Michael Haynes with the No. 14 and picked Florida quarterback Rex Grossman at No. 22. Grossman started in Super Bowl XLI in 2007 and lost to the Indianapolis Colts, It was Peyton Manning's first title.

The rest of the Bears picks for this year’s NFL draft: No. 75 (third round), No. 110, 122 (fourth round) and No. 142 (fifth round). 

Chicago fans are anxiously awaiting to see what they have in mind. 

Author

Lou Monaco had been East Coast Scene columnist for Gaming Today in Las Vegas since June 2019, covering the East Coast sportsbook scene with emphasis on NJ and PA. He also currently is a part-time writer for the high school sports department for NJ Advanced Media (NJ.com) in Iselin, NJ. Lou has over 30 years sports experience with previous stints at ESPN SportsTicker, Daily Racing Form and Oddschecker.

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