Cubs' Struggling Pitching Staff Leaves World Series Hopes Hanging by a Thread

Cubs' Struggling Pitching Staff Leaves World Series Hopes Hanging by a Thread
Robert Hayek Profile Picture

The Chicago Cubs have talent, a potent lineup, and a Wild Card spot to their name, but their pitching staff has been anything but reliable this season. They currently rank 22nd in starting pitching ERA and 14th in bullpen ERA, highlighting their issues on the mound. For anyone using Illinois sports betting to back the North Siders, the current odds tell a story of a team with real upside and a real ceiling problem.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-MY-RESET, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/NH/PR/WY). Void in CAN. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. Wagering offered by DK Sportsbook. 1 per new DraftKings customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $200 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 7/19/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Where the Odds Stand

DraftKings currently lists the Cubs at +1600 to win the World Series, the eighth-highest mark in baseball. That number reflects a roster capable of contending, but it also shows plenty of skepticism given how the season has unfolded. Chicago sits in second place in the NL Central, six games behind the Brewers, and currently holds the top Wild Card position in the National League.

That standing sets up a difficult postseason path. If the season ended today, the Cubs would open with a Wild Card Best-of-Three series against the Phillies. Get through that, and they would have a Divisional Round showdown with the Dodgers, unless the Brewers can get hot and catch them for the top seed in the NL. Neither matchup looks favorable on paper. Chicago is 1-2 against Los Angeles this season and 2-4 against Milwaukee, results that raise fair questions about whether this roster is built to win three straight series against the class of the National League.

A Rotation That Keeps Breaking Down

The bigger issue isn't the standings. It's health. Justin Steele, Cade Horton, Jameson Taillon, and Ben Brown have all missed significant time, and the bullpen has taken its own hits with Porter Hodge, Daniel Palencia, and Hunter Harvey all sidelined at various points. Shota Imanaga has been the closest thing to a workhorse, but even he is behind the innings pace teams typically want from a top starter heading into August.

Matthew Boyd's recent return has been a bright spot, and if he keeps pitching the way he did his last time out, it could stabilize a staff that has been forced to lean on fill-in arms far more often than the front office would like. Cabrera and Colin Rea have provided innings, but neither profiles as a pitcher a contender wants fronting a playoff rotation.

The front office has a clear decision to make before the trade deadline. Adding a frontline starter would change the calculus significantly, both for the Cubs' chances of catching Milwaukee and for how they match up in October. Standing pat means hoping health and depth hold up against lineups that don't forgive mistakes.

For bettors tracking the market through Illinois sports betting apps for mobile wagering instead, the Cubs represent a classic buy low, sell high dilemma. The offense has shown it can carry the team through stretches, but until the rotation stabilizes, that +1600 number looks like fair value rather than a bargain. The next few weeks, and what Jed Hoyer does at the deadline, will likely determine which direction those odds move.

quote

Author

Robert Hayek

Robert B. Hayek has been writing about sports for over a decade and is currently a member of the Gambling.com Group team. In his spare time, he runs the largest sports meetup group in Orange County, CA, actively participating in every sport imaginable. He is also a published author of five thriller novels, all available on Amazon.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: