What Can Bears Trend Tell Bettors About NFL Primetime Over/Unders?

What Can Bears Trend Tell Bettors About NFL Primetime Over/Unders?
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

Last season, the Chicago Bears were a source of frustration for over bettors at Illinois betting apps as much as the team was a downer for its fans.

Chicago found itself among the bottom five teams in offensive rankings. However, Justin Fields’ development at quarterback over the course of the last campaign provided a standout highlight.

The Bears’ offensive woes were evident in two of their three primetime games during the 2022-23 season. These included a 27-10 defeat against division rivals, the Green Bay Packers, in Week 2. In Week 6, they had a disappointing 12-7 loss against the Washington Commanders. However, they redeemed themselves with their only primetime victory, 33-14 over the New England Patriots in Week 7.

But after that Chicago lost its final 10 games, falling to the worst record in the league and causing Illinois sports betting to be less fun for those backing the home team.

Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in IL. In partnership with Par-A-Dice Hotel Casino. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or text ILGAMB to 53342. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.

Bears Reinforce Trend Of Primetime Unders

The Bears’ reflected a recurring trend that affected the majority of primetime games. In the 2022-23 season, well over half of the 55 matchups concluded with the under projected points hitting. This hints that serious offensive effort will be needed to alter the prevailing outcomes of next season’s primetime slots for those who prefer lots of points.

Following a 3-14 finish, the league awarded the Bears with four primetime games. Seriously, that is not a typo. Besides the team’s performances during last season’s primetime games, the following information will be an indicator ahead of your decision-making process on over/under bets next campaign.

IllinoisBet.com used SportsOddsHistory.com data to determine how many primetime games last season went over or under.

NFL Primetime Over-Under in 2022

Day/GamesAverage ScoreOver/Under
Thursday Night Football (17 Games)25.5-15.27 Over, 10 Under
Sunday Night Football (18 Games)25-16.76 Over, 12 Under
Monday Night Football (17 Games)26.6-13.66 Over, 9 Under, 2 Push
Saturday Night Football (3 Games)21.7-18.31 Over, 2 Under
TOTALS25.4-15.520 Over (38.18%), 33 Under (61.82%), 2 Push

Over Bettors Left in Cold During Primetime

As you check out our research, keep in mind that you can track Bears Super Bowl odds all season at IllinoisBet.

Of 55 NFL primetime games in the 2022-23 NFL season, 33 (or 61.82%) resulted in the under. Over bettors cashed 20 times (38.18%) and there were two pushes. The total average of points for primetime games was 40.9.

Thursday Night Football was the best news for over bettors, but even then the under cashed 10 times out of 17 games. And Sunday nights were a bonanza for under bettors – 12 of the 18 games, or 66.7%, fell short of the points total set by oddsmakers.

As for Monday nights, nine of those games went under on points, six went over and two hit the number exactly for a push (in that instance all bets are returned).

During three Saturday night games, one exceeded the total projected points while two games favored the under.

Chicago Bears 2023 Playoff Chances

Chicago has not won a playoff game since January 2011 and only made the postseason twice since. Those who believe in a big turnaround in 2023 can check out the Bears playoff chances at IllinoisBet all season.

As mentioned earlier, the Bears are slated for four primetime games during the next NFL campaign. That includes a rematch on the road against the Washington Commanders in Week 5, another road clash against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 8, a game at Soldier Field against the Carolina Panthers in Week 10 and an NFC North division showdown at the Minnesota Vikings in Week 12.

With the aim of rebounding from a disappointing 3-14 season, the Bears are determined to regain their footing and instill confidence in over bettors, especially after averaging only 19.2 points per game last year.

Ahead of the 2023-2024 NFL season, keep tabs on IllinoisBet.com for the latest and best Illinois sportsbook promos out there.



Felix Veletanga is an experienced reporter who has covered local news, politics, and sports in Northern New Jersey, and now lends his expertise to the Illinois sports betting market. He previously covered the Saint Peter’s men’s basketball team’s 2022 NCAA Cinderella run for HudPost. Felix specializes in combat fighting and soccer betting analysis with a focus on the Premier League.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: