Why Under Has Been Better For Bettors in NFL Games at Soldier Field

Why Under Has Been Better For Bettors in NFL Games at Soldier Field
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

In football wagering, the “Under” is often not a favored bet by gamblers, including those using Illinois sportsbook apps.

To offer a quick primer on the Over/Under wager: As most gamblers know, that’s a bet – often in football – on whether two teams will combine to score more or fewer points than a number set by the oddsmaker.

And it’s the “Over” side of such a bet to which many gamblers are attracted. The reason is probably a matter of human nature. Sports gamblers, like sports fans in general, like offense. They enjoy scoring, and when it comes to the Over/Under wager, they frequently favor the Over. Just ask any bookmaker.

Why Over Bets Are Popular

There’s at least some psychological grounding in Illinois sports betting to being an Over bettor. When a fan wagers on the Over and the two teams combine to exceed the Over/Under number, the bettor can rest easy. The wager is resolved.

However, with the Under wager, if it’s close to the Over/Under line of demarcation near the end of the game, the gambler is on edge until the game is in the books.

Still, the Under could be the smart bet, given the right circumstances. And Chicago is the home of a good example of that.

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How We Determined Best Over/Under Stadiums

IllinoisBet.com, your home for the best Illinois sports betting promos, researched all NFL Over/Under results from the past 10 seasons. We used data from SportsOddsHistory.com to determine which current stadiums have hit the most Unders. This data includes all regular-season games, playoff games and Super Bowls played at the given stadium.

We instituted a five-year minimum in the research, meaning that Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles were not included.

With that in mind, it turns out that Chicago’s Soldier Field has been a haven for fans of lower scoring games with the Under hitting 57.41%, or with a record of 46-34-1. according to the data at SportsOddsHistory.

Best NFL Stadiums for Under Bettors Since 2013

RankStadiumUnder PercentageTotal Under Record
1Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Falcons)61.22%30-19
2Arrowhead Stadium (Chiefs)6056-37-2
3M&T Bank Stadium (Ravens)58.43%48-34-1
4Lucas Oil Stadium (Colts)57.83%48-35
5Soldier Field (Bears)57.41%46-34-1
T-6Empower Field (Broncos)56.98%48-36-2
T-6Lincoln Financial Field (Eagles)56.98%49-37
8TIAA Bank Field (Jaguars)56.41%44-34
9Levi’s Stadium (49ers)55.42%46-37
10Cleveland Browns Stadium (Browns)54.94%43-35-3

Why Bears Are Ranked So High

Chicago’s presence on the list of best stadiums for Under bettors is rooted, at least in part, in the fact that the Bears have been one of lowest-scoring teams in the NFL over the last 10 seasons – check out the Bears playoff chances for the 2023 season.

Since 2013, in eight seasons, Chicago has been deep in the bottom third of the league in scoring, finishing no higher than No. 22 and as low as No. 29 (twice) among 32 teams.

The Bears’ per-game scoring average since 2013 is 20.55 points per contest. If two anomalous seasons are subtracted – Chicago had offensive surges in 2013 and 2018 – their average is just 19 points a game. 

Meanwhile, the NFL average over those 10 seasons was 22.91 points a game.

The cumulative effect of the Bears’ lower-than-normal scoring output has appeared to help make Soldier Field a place where the Under bettors flourish.

Ranking above Soldier Field in hitting the most Unders over the past 10 seasons were, in order: Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium (61.22%, 30-19 in favor of Unders); Kansas City’s Arrowhead Stadium (60%, 56-37-2); Baltimore’s M&T Bank Stadium (58.43%, 48-34-1), and Indianapolis’ Lucas Oil Stadium (57.83%, 48-35).

Stay with IllinoisBet to track Bears Super Bowl odds as the season progresses.



Bill Ordine covers state gambling issues for IllinoisBet.com. He was a reporter and editor in news and sports for the Philadelphia Inquirer and Baltimore Sun for 25 years, and was a lead reporter on a team that was a finalist for the Pulitzer Prize in Breaking News. Bill started reporting on casinos and gaming shortly after Atlantic City’s first gambling halls opened and wrote a syndicated column on travel to casino destinations for 10 years.

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